ESPN data updated: 30m ago
FFL·HELPER
Matchup
SETH v. JOSH
Win probability
73.2%
You
117.87
Them
85.59
Margin
+32.28

SETH — Active ESPN Roster 117.87proj

Slot Player Team %ST ESPN Sleeper ADJ PROJ Matchup
QB DAL Mon
60% 17.04 15.78 16.41
RB1 ATL Sun
100% 19.48 22.99 21.23
RB2 TB Sun
86% 14.34 16.27 15.3
WR1 ATL Sun
96% 17.51 17.25 17.38
WR2 LAR Sun
69% 0.0 — 0.0 O
TE LV Sun
97% 18.8 16.23 17.52
FLEX MIN Sun
40% 18.81 19.17 18.99
DST NE Thu
67% 3.95 5.88 4.92
K MIA Sun
0% 5.51 6.73 6.12

Bench benched in ESPN 57.53proj

Slot Player Team %ST ESPN Sleeper ADJ PROJ Matchup
QB NE Thu
81% 20.94 20.27 20.61
RB DAL Mon
95% 16.75 17.47 17.11
RB ARI Sun
31% 12.15 7.77 0.0 O
RB SEA Sun
5% 0.0 0.36 0.0 I
WR DEN Sun
19% 8.97 9.19 9.08
WR JAX
52% 0.0 — 0.0 —
TE KC Sun
65% 9.95 11.51 10.73

IR slot available — and worth using 7on bench

Your IR slot is empty while Jadarian Price takes up a bench place. Moving him to IR frees it for a waiver pickup and costs nothing — he cannot play either way.

Possibly also eligible: Jeremiyah Love (OUT).

This app does not make the move; set it in ESPN.

JOSH — Active ESPN Roster 85.59proj

Slot Player Team %ST ESPN Sleeper ADJ PROJ Matchup
QB JAX
43% 0.0 — 0.0 —
RB1 CHI Thu
84% 15.07 15.86 15.46
RB2 TB Sun
12% 6.71 9.09 7.9
WR1 KC Sun
24% 13.63 13.21 13.42
WR2 TEN Sun
42% 11.27 12.53 11.9
TE SF Sun
90% 16.91 15.0 15.96
FLEX DAL Mon
22% 5.9 8.06 6.98
DST PHI Mon
37% 4.57 5.88 5.22
K KC Sun
50% 10.31 7.19 8.75

Their bench on ESPN's bench right now 33.52proj

Slot Player Team %ST ESPN Sleeper ADJ PROJ Matchup
QB LAC
13% 0.0 — 0.0 —
RB NE Thu
16% 7.2 6.92 7.06
RB NYJ Sun
23% 15.75 14.12 0.0 O
WR CIN Sun
45% 22.52 19.03 20.77
WR HOU Sun
11% 7.41 3.97 5.69
WR JAX
3% 0.0 — 0.0 —
WR GB Sun
0% 0.0 — 0.0 I
WR SF Sun
3% 0.0 — 0.0 O

This Week's Signals what the projections do not say

Injuries on your roster

  • Jeremiyah Love RB · ARI bench
    Out — Ankle. Expected back week 7.
  • Davante Adams WR · LAR bench
    Out — Left Hamstring (Surgery). Expected back week 12.
    Adams exited the game on the Rams' final offensive possession, walking gingerly off the field after he was in discomfort while running a route during the team's second-to-last snap of the day. Head coach Sean McVay announced Monday that he expects the veteran receiver to be sidelined for around 6-to-10 weeks, per Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register, with how Adams responds to surgery likely determining whether he makes it back at the short or long end of that timeline. With Puka Nacua already locked into a massive weekly target share as the Rams' clear No. 1 wideout, Adams' absence is more likely to open up additional opportunities in the passing game for supporting players such as running back Kyren Williams, wideouts Jordan Whittington and Konata Mumpfield and tight ends Colby Parkinson and Tyler Higbee.
  • Jadarian Price RB · SEA bench
    IR — Chest. Expected back week 8.
    Price was placed on injured reserve after Week 3 due to a lingering chest injury, and while he must miss one more contest to meet the minimum four-game requirement on the list, he appears as if he'll be ready to go when first eligible in Week 8 against the Bears on Monday, Nov. 2. In the meantime, the Seahawks are expected to get back fellow RB Zach Charbonnet (knee), so Price may be relegated to a lessened role once he's healthy enough to play again.

Game environment market odds

  • Drake Maye QB · NE vs CHI · CHI -3
    shootout: 50.5 total, the week's high end; mostly clear.
  • Bijan Robinson RB · ATL vs SF · SF -3
    shootout: 50.5 total, the week's high end; sunny.
  • Javonte Williams RB · DAL vs PHI · DAL -4.5
    clear.
  • Justin Jefferson WR · MIN vs IND · MIN -6.5
    hazy sunshine.
  • Drake London WR · ATL vs SF · SF -3
    shootout: 50.5 total, the week's high end; sunny.
  • Brock Bowers TE · LV vs LAR · LAR -4.5
    sunny.
  • Bucky Irving RB · TB vs CAR · CAR -3.5
    sunny.
  • New England Patriots DST · NE vs CHI · CHI -3
    shootout: 50.5 total, the week's high end; mostly clear.
  • Riley Patterson K · MIA vs NYJ · NYJ -4.5
    low-scoring game projected: 38.5 total; sunny.

Extreme matchups

  • Drake Maye soft
    vs CHI — ranks 28 of 32 -- one of the softest defences against QBs.
  • Drake London soft
    vs SF — ranks 28 of 32 -- one of the softest defences against WRs.

Context only — backtesting showed applying this as a projection adjustment made accuracy worse.

Sources disagree

  • Bijan Robinson RB
    ESPN 19.48 vs Sleeper 22.99 — a 3.51-point gap, with Sleeper higher. A gap this size usually means the two disagree about his role, not his talent.
  • Brock Bowers TE
    ESPN 18.8 vs Sleeper 16.23 — a 2.57-point gap, with ESPN higher. A gap this size usually means the two disagree about his role, not his talent.

Bench same columns, for comparison

Pos Player Proj rk Opp D Proj Split Floor–ceil Season rk PPG YPG REC CAR
QB DAL Mon QB14 PHI 6 16.41 1 9–24 QB12 18.31 285 0.0 2.3
TE KC Sun TE9 SEA 20 10.73 2 3–18 TE8 12.38 60 4.0 0.0
WR DEN Sun WR42 ARI 5 9.08 0 3–16 WR60 5.22 20 2.2 0.0
RB ARI Sun RB29 DEN 1 0.0 9.96 ±4 0–0 RB31 10.22 56 2.2 13.4
WR LAR Sun WR192 LV 8 0.0 0.0 1 src 0–0 WR10 17.0 80 5.0 0.0
RB SEA Sun RB87 KC 3 0.0 0.36 0 0–0 RB75 4.67 47 1.3 9.3
WR JAX WR151 0.0 1 src 0–2 WR20 15.32 70 4.3 0.2

Outcome Range

Win prob
90.2%
Median margin
+40
Bad week
0
Good week
+79

20000 simulated matchups; 19 lineups evaluated. "Bad"/"good" are the 10th and 90th percentile margins.

Data

Rosters from espn.
Variance measured from 5,687 player-weeks in 2025.
Team-mate correlation is not modelled, so a QB and his receiver are treated as independent — real ranges are slightly wider than shown.