Matchup
SETH
v.
JOSH
Win probability
73.2%
You
117.87
Them
85.59
Margin
+32.28
Matchups
SETH — Active ESPN Roster 117.87proj
| Slot | Player | Team | %ST | ESPN | Sleeper | ADJ PROJ | Matchup |
| QB |
Mon
|
60% | 17.04 | 15.78 | 16.41 | ||
| RB1 |
Sun
|
100% | 19.48 | 22.99 | 21.23 | ||
| RB2 |
Sun
|
86% | 14.34 | 16.27 | 15.3 | ||
| WR1 |
Sun
|
96% | 17.51 | 17.25 | 17.38 | ||
| WR2 |
Sun
|
69% | 0.0 | — | 0.0 O | ||
| TE |
Sun
|
97% | 18.8 | 16.23 | 17.52 | ||
| FLEX |
Sun
|
40% | 18.81 | 19.17 | 18.99 | ||
| DST |
Thu
|
67% | 3.95 | 5.88 | 4.92 | ||
| K |
Sun
|
0% | 5.51 | 6.73 | 6.12 |
Bench benched in ESPN 57.53proj
| Slot | Player | Team | %ST | ESPN | Sleeper | ADJ PROJ | Matchup |
| QB |
Thu
|
81% | 20.94 | 20.27 | 20.61 | ||
| RB |
Mon
|
95% | 16.75 | 17.47 | 17.11 | ||
| RB |
Sun
|
31% | 12.15 | 7.77 | 0.0 O | ||
| RB |
Sun
|
5% | 0.0 | 0.36 | 0.0 I | ||
| WR |
Sun
|
19% | 8.97 | 9.19 | 9.08 | ||
| WR |
|
52% | 0.0 | — | 0.0 | — | |
| TE |
Sun
|
65% | 9.95 | 11.51 | 10.73 |
IR slot available — and worth using 7on bench
Your IR slot is empty while Jadarian Price takes up a bench place. Moving him to IR frees it for a waiver pickup and costs nothing — he cannot play either way.
JOSH — Active ESPN Roster 85.59proj
| Slot | Player | Team | %ST | ESPN | Sleeper | ADJ PROJ | Matchup |
| QB |
|
43% | 0.0 | — | 0.0 | — | |
| RB1 |
Thu
|
84% | 15.07 | 15.86 | 15.46 | ||
| RB2 |
Sun
|
12% | 6.71 | 9.09 | 7.9 | ||
| WR1 |
Sun
|
24% | 13.63 | 13.21 | 13.42 | ||
| WR2 |
Sun
|
42% | 11.27 | 12.53 | 11.9 | ||
| TE |
Sun
|
90% | 16.91 | 15.0 | 15.96 | ||
| FLEX |
Mon
|
22% | 5.9 | 8.06 | 6.98 | ||
| DST |
Mon
|
37% | 4.57 | 5.88 | 5.22 | ||
| K |
Sun
|
50% | 10.31 | 7.19 | 8.75 |
Their bench on ESPN's bench right now 33.52proj
| Slot | Player | Team | %ST | ESPN | Sleeper | ADJ PROJ | Matchup |
| QB |
|
13% | 0.0 | — | 0.0 | — | |
| RB |
Thu
|
16% | 7.2 | 6.92 | 7.06 | ||
| RB |
Sun
|
23% | 15.75 | 14.12 | 0.0 O | ||
| WR |
Sun
|
45% | 22.52 | 19.03 | 20.77 | ||
| WR |
Sun
|
11% | 7.41 | 3.97 | 5.69 | ||
| WR |
|
3% | 0.0 | — | 0.0 | — | |
| WR |
Sun
|
0% | 0.0 | — | 0.0 I | ||
| WR |
Sun
|
3% | 0.0 | — | 0.0 O |
This Week's Signals what the projections do not say
Injuries on your roster
-
Jeremiyah Love
bench
Out — Ankle. Expected back week 7.
-
Davante Adams
bench
Out — Left Hamstring (Surgery). Expected back week 12.Adams exited the game on the Rams' final offensive possession, walking gingerly off the field after he was in discomfort while running a route during the team's second-to-last snap of the day. Head coach Sean McVay announced Monday that he expects the veteran receiver to be sidelined for around 6-to-10 weeks, per Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register, with how Adams responds to surgery likely determining whether he makes it back at the short or long end of that timeline. With Puka Nacua already locked into a massive weekly target share as the Rams' clear No. 1 wideout, Adams' absence is more likely to open up additional opportunities in the passing game for supporting players such as running back Kyren Williams, wideouts Jordan Whittington and Konata Mumpfield and tight ends Colby Parkinson and Tyler Higbee.
-
Jadarian Price
bench
IR — Chest. Expected back week 8.Price was placed on injured reserve after Week 3 due to a lingering chest injury, and while he must miss one more contest to meet the minimum four-game requirement on the list, he appears as if he'll be ready to go when first eligible in Week 8 against the Bears on Monday, Nov. 2. In the meantime, the Seahawks are expected to get back fellow RB Zach Charbonnet (knee), so Price may be relegated to a lessened role once he's healthy enough to play again.
Game environment market odds
-
Drake Maye
shootout: 50.5 total, the week's high end; mostly clear.
-
Bijan Robinson
shootout: 50.5 total, the week's high end; sunny.
-
Javonte Williams
clear.
-
Justin Jefferson
hazy sunshine.
-
Drake London
shootout: 50.5 total, the week's high end; sunny.
-
Brock Bowers
sunny.
-
Bucky Irving
sunny.
-
New England Patriots
shootout: 50.5 total, the week's high end; mostly clear.
-
Riley Patterson
low-scoring game projected: 38.5 total; sunny.
Extreme matchups
-
Drake Maye
soft
vs CHI — ranks 28 of 32 -- one of the softest defences against QBs.
-
Drake London
soft
vs SF — ranks 28 of 32 -- one of the softest defences against WRs.
Context only — backtesting showed applying this as a projection adjustment made accuracy worse.
Sources disagree
-
Bijan Robinson
ESPN 19.48 vs Sleeper 22.99 — a 3.51-point gap, with Sleeper higher. A gap this size usually means the two disagree about his role, not his talent.
-
Brock Bowers
ESPN 18.8 vs Sleeper 16.23 — a 2.57-point gap, with ESPN higher. A gap this size usually means the two disagree about his role, not his talent.
Bench same columns, for comparison
| Pos | Player | Proj rk | Opp D | Proj | Split | Floor–ceil | Season rk | PPG | YPG | REC | CAR |
| QB |
Mon
|
QB14 | PHI 6 | 16.41 | 9–24 | QB12 | 18.31 | 285 | 0.0 | 2.3 | |
| TE |
Sun
|
TE9 | SEA 20 | 10.73 | 3–18 | TE8 | 12.38 | 60 | 4.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR |
Sun
|
WR42 | ARI 5 | 9.08 | 3–16 | WR60 | 5.22 | 20 | 2.2 | 0.0 | |
| RB |
Sun
|
RB29 | DEN 1 | 0.0 | ±4 | 0–0 | RB31 | 10.22 | 56 | 2.2 | 13.4 |
| WR |
Sun
|
WR192 | LV 8 | 0.0 | 0–0 | WR10 | 17.0 | 80 | 5.0 | 0.0 | |
| RB |
Sun
|
RB87 | KC 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | RB75 | 4.67 | 47 | 1.3 | 9.3 | |
| WR |
|
WR151 | 0.0 | 0–2 | WR20 | 15.32 | 70 | 4.3 | 0.2 |
Outcome Range
Win prob
90.2%
Median margin
+40
Bad week
0
Good week
+79
20000 simulated matchups; 19 lineups evaluated. "Bad"/"good" are the 10th and 90th percentile margins.
Data
Rosters from espn.
Variance measured from 5,687 player-weeks in 2025.
Team-mate correlation is not modelled, so a QB and his receiver are treated as independent — real ranges are slightly wider than shown.
Variance measured from 5,687 player-weeks in 2025.
Team-mate correlation is not modelled, so a QB and his receiver are treated as independent — real ranges are slightly wider than shown.