ESPN data updated: 29m ago
WK 7
JOSH 84 86
SETH 115 118
PROJ
JAKE 118 117
CONNOR 125 126
PROJ
BILL 130 98
PAUL 125 120
PROJ
JIM 76 73
NATHAN 116 111
PROJ
FFL·HELPER
Matchup
NATHAN v. JIM
Win probability
48.4%
You
111.03
Them
72.99
Margin
+38.04
Matchups
JOSHvSETH JAKEvCONNOR BILLvPAUL JIMvNATHAN

NATHAN — Active ESPN Roster 111.03proj

Slot Player Team %ST ESPN Sleeper ADJ PROJ Matchup
QB GB Sun
69% 20.04 19.07 19.55
RB1 TEN Sun
59% 13.72 12.06 12.89
RB2 JAX
50% 0.0 — 0.0 —
WR1 LAR Sun
98% 25.22 22.41 23.81
WR2 GB Sun
76% 17.18 15.54 16.36
TE ARI Sun
99% 16.01 15.46 15.74
FLEX NYJ Sun
54% 7.86 7.35 7.61
DST KC Sun
69% 6.81 5.78 6.29
K SEA Sun
83% 9.47 8.09 8.78

Bench benched in ESPN 51.31proj

Slot Player Team %ST ESPN Sleeper ADJ PROJ Matchup
QB DET Sun
20% 18.81 18.32 18.56
RB LAC
44% 0.0 — 0.0 —
RB HOU Sun
14% 13.45 8.94 0.0 O
WR TB Sun
62% 13.82 10.83 12.32
WR CHI Thu
40% 10.34 10.76 10.55
WR JAX
5% 0.0 — 0.0 —
TE CLE Sun
67% 8.34 11.41 9.88

IR slot available — and worth using 7on bench

Your IR slot is empty while these could possibly go there: David Montgomery (OUT). ESPN does not publish which designations its IR slot accepts, so this is a candidate rather than a certainty — try it and ESPN will say.

This app does not make the move; set it in ESPN.

JIM — Active ESPN Roster 72.99proj

Slot Player Team %ST ESPN Sleeper ADJ PROJ Matchup
QB BUF
80% 0.0 — 0.0 —
RB1 BAL Sun
99% 20.58 17.73 19.16
RB2 PIT Sun
82% 17.95 16.91 17.43
WR1 DAL Mon
88% 13.38 11.81 12.6
WR2 JAX
15% 0.0 — 0.0 —
TE BUF
31% 0.0 — 0.0 —
FLEX LV Sun
97% 17.17 15.01 16.09
DST HOU Sun
72% 7.2 8.21 7.71
K LAC
60% 0.0 — 0.0 —

Their bench on ESPN's bench right now 57.42proj

Slot Player Team %ST ESPN Sleeper ADJ PROJ Matchup
QB KC Sun
55% 15.79 15.22 15.5
QB WAS
51% 0.0 — 0.0 —
RB NE Thu
68% 11.64 11.08 11.36
RB NO Sun
9% 0.0 — 0.0 I
WR PHI Mon
62% 16.89 13.19 15.04
TE ATL Sun
41% 9.85 7.78 8.81
DST DEN Sun
67% 6.38 7.05 6.71

This Week's Signals what the projections do not say

Injuries on your roster

  • David Montgomery RB · HOU bench
    Out — Groin. Expected back week 7.

Game environment market odds

  • Jordan Love QB · GB vs DET · DET -3
    shootout: 53.5 total, the week's high end; intermittent clouds.
  • Tony Pollard RB · TEN vs CLE · CLE -1.5
    low-scoring game projected: 38.5 total; partly sunny.
  • Braelon Allen RB · NYJ vs MIA · NYJ -4.5
    low-scoring game projected: 38.5 total; sunny.
  • Puka Nacua WR · LAR vs LV · LAR -4.5
    sunny.
  • Matthew Golden WR · GB vs DET · DET -3
    shootout: 53.5 total, the week's high end; intermittent clouds.
  • Trey McBride TE · ARI vs DEN · DEN -4.5
    sunny.
  • Emeka Egbuka WR · TB vs CAR · CAR -3.5
    sunny.
  • Kansas City Chiefs DST · KC vs SEA · SEA -2.5
    intermittent clouds.
  • Jason Myers K · SEA vs KC · SEA -2.5
    intermittent clouds.

Sources disagree

  • Emeka Egbuka WR
    ESPN 13.82 vs Sleeper 10.83 — a 2.99-point gap, with ESPN higher. A gap this size usually means the two disagree about his role, not his talent.
  • Puka Nacua WR
    ESPN 25.22 vs Sleeper 22.41 — a 2.81-point gap, with ESPN higher. A gap this size usually means the two disagree about his role, not his talent.

Bench same columns, for comparison

Pos Player Proj rk Opp D Proj Split Floor–ceil Season rk PPG YPG REC CAR
QB DET Sun QB7 GB 12 18.56 0 9–28 QB3 23.0 300 0.0 2.0
WR CHI Thu WR32 NE 32 10.55 0 2–19 WR45 8.2 52 3.3 0.0
TE CLE Sun TE14 TEN 25 9.88 ±3 3–16 TE12 8.93 28 3.2 0.0
RB LAC RB133 0.0 1 src 0–2 RB21 9.58 58 1.5 13.3
RB JAX RB134 0.0 1 src 0–2 RB28 14.73 86 2.2 15.7
RB HOU Sun RB25 NYG 30 0.0 11.2 ±5 0–0 RB37 9.1 41 1.4 10.4
WR JAX WR224 0.0 1 src 0–2 WR82 4.25 18 1.5 0.0

Outcome Range

Win prob
63.0%
Median margin
+11
Bad week
-30
Good week
+53

20000 simulated matchups; 19 lineups evaluated. "Bad"/"good" are the 10th and 90th percentile margins.

Data

Rosters from espn.
Variance measured from 5,687 player-weeks in 2025.
Team-mate correlation is not modelled, so a QB and his receiver are treated as independent — real ranges are slightly wider than shown.